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Bertrand’s Paradox Calculator

Compare three random-chord models for a chord longer than the side of an inscribed equilateral triangle.

Probability of a longer chord

33.333333%

Formula

Uniform endpoints: 1/3; uniform radius distance: 1/2; uniform midpoint area: 1/4.

Probability of a longer chord ≈ 100÷3

How to use

  1. Choose how a random chord is sampled.
  2. The length threshold is √3 times the circle radius.
  3. Read the probability for that sampling rule.

Examples

  • Uniform midpoint area gives (R/2)²/R² = 1/4 = 25%.

Frequently asked questions

Why are the answers different?

Each sampling rule assigns a different probability distribution to chords.

Does the circle radius matter?

No. Scaling preserves the relative geometry and these probabilities.

Is this a simulation?

No. These are exact geometric probabilities before display rounding.

Sources

Updated:

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